La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Leganes Prediction

Real Madrid

Home Team
98%
VS

Leganes

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 27 19 3 5 75 27 48 60
2 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 59 27 32 60
3 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 46 22 24 56
4 Ath Bilbao 28 14 10 4 46 24 22 52
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 49 38 11 44
6 Betis 28 12 8 8 38 35 3 44
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 28 34 -6 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 41 41 0 39
9 Vallecano 28 9 10 9 31 31 0 37
10 Sevilla 28 9 9 10 32 37 -5 36
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 25 23 2 36
12 Sociedad 28 10 5 13 25 30 -5 35
13 Girona 28 9 7 12 36 41 -5 34
14 Osasuna 27 7 12 8 33 39 -6 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 26 39 -13 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 31 46 -15 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 32 42 -10 27
18 Leganes 28 6 9 13 26 43 -17 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 32 47 -15 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 18 63 -45 16

Recent Trends

Real Madrid ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)

Leganes ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 1

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Leganes, with a staggering 98% probability of victory. The match is also likely to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 55% chance of that outcome. Real Madrid currently sits in second place in La Liga, sharing 60 points with Barcelona but trailing on goal difference. Meanwhile, Leganes finds itself in 18th place and fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Real Madrid comes into this match with strong recent performances, securing victories against Villarreal and Vallecano, although they suffered a narrow defeat to Betis. They have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings. Their expected goals (xG) metric of 3.164 suggests they are creating numerous quality scoring opportunities. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. Leganes, on the other hand, is in a precarious position, struggling with form as they have lost two of their last three matches, including a defeat at home to Betis and another away to Celta. They did manage a narrow victory against Getafe, but their overall recent performances have been underwhelming, with an average of only 0.4 goals scored per game. Their expected goals conceded (xGA) of 1.5 indicates that they are vulnerable defensively.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's superior attacking prowess and defensive resilience give them a clear edge in this encounter. The high probability of a home victory is backed by their consistent ability to create and convert chances. A key factor to watch during the game will be Real Madrid's ability to exploit Leganes' defensive frailties, which could lead to a high-scoring affair.