La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Celta Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
44%
VS

Celta

Away Team
29%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 17 12 2 3 34 16 18 38
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 18 10 3 5 22 19 3 33
6 Betis 18 7 7 4 30 24 6 28
7 Celta 18 6 8 4 24 20 4 26
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 18 5 7 6 24 23 1 22
10 Getafe 18 6 3 9 14 23 -9 21
11 Sevilla 18 6 2 10 24 29 -5 20
12 Osasuna 18 5 4 9 18 21 -3 19
13 Alaves 18 5 4 9 15 21 -6 19
14 Vallecano 18 4 7 7 14 21 -7 19
15 Sociedad 18 4 6 8 22 26 -4 18
16 Mallorca 18 4 6 8 20 26 -6 18
17 Girona 18 4 6 8 17 34 -17 18
18 Valencia 18 3 7 8 17 30 -13 16
19 Levante 17 3 4 10 20 29 -9 13
20 Oviedo 18 2 6 10 8 27 -19 12

Recent Trends

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)

Celta ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 1

Celta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.36
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Celta is leaning towards a victory for the home team, with a 44.0% probability of Sevilla coming out on top. The game is anticipated to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 45.0% for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest. Currently, Celta is sitting in the 7th position on the La Liga table with 26 points, while Sevilla is down in 11th place with 20 points, making this a crucial match for both sides as they aim to climb the standings.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Sevilla has experienced a mixed bag of results. They suffered back-to-back losses against Levante and Real Madrid, being unable to find the net in those encounters, before bouncing back with a commanding 4-0 victory over bottom-placed Oviedo. This inconsistency is reflected in their average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. Despite the struggles, Sevilla's expected goals metrics suggest they have been underperforming in attack, with 1.442 expected goals per game, hinting at potential improvement. Celta, on the other hand, is in better form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. They convincingly defeated Valencia 4-1 and shut out Athletic Bilbao 2-0, showcasing their defensive solidity with three clean sheets in their last five games. Celta's average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game underscores their balanced approach, making them a tough opponent for Sevilla. Their expected goals metrics align closely with their actual performance, indicating they are executing their game plan effectively.

Final Prediction

Sevilla's edge in this matchup might come from the home advantage and their potential to break out of their underperformance in front of goal. However, Celta's recent form and defensive resilience will pose a significant challenge. A key factor to watch will be whether Sevilla can capitalize on their expected goals potential to breach Celta's sturdy defense, which could ultimately decide the outcome of this intriguing La Liga fixture.