La Liga 2024-2025: Sevilla vs Leganes Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
73%
VS

Leganes

Away Team
12%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Sevilla ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)

Leganes ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 0

Leganes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Sevilla is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter against Leganes, with a strong probability of 73.0% favoring the home team. The forecast also leans towards a low-scoring affair, with a 46.0% probability of the match featuring under 2.5 goals. In terms of league standings, Sevilla finds themselves in the 15th position, while Leganes is battling relegation woes in the 19th spot.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Sevilla has struggled to find form, suffering defeats against Osasuna and Valencia, and managing only a draw against Alaves. Their attacking output has been underwhelming, with just one goal scored in these fixtures. Meanwhile, their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding a goal per match on average. The advanced metrics underscore these struggles, with Sevilla scoring an average of 0.8 goals in their last five games and conceding 1.8, indicating that both ends of the pitch need improvement. Leganes, on the other hand, has experienced a similar slump, drawing against Girona and Mallorca, and losing narrowly to Barcelona. Their scoring woes continue, averaging just 0.6 goals in their recent five games, while their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals. With only one clean sheet in their last five matches, Leganes will need to bolster their defensive discipline to stand a chance.

Final Prediction

Sevilla holds the upper hand in this contest, primarily due to their higher league position and the home advantage, which significantly boosts their chances of claiming victory. Key to their success will be improving their scoring efficiency, as even marginal improvements can capitalize on Leganes' defensive frailties. Fans should keep an eye on Sevilla's attacking transitions, which could exploit gaps in the Leganes backline, potentially deciding the outcome of the match.