La Liga 2025-2026: Sevilla vs Oviedo Prediction

Sevilla

Home Team
74%
VS

Oviedo

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 20 27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 15 13 31
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 19 16 3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 6 24
7 Betis 16 7 2 7 15 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 17 1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 18 19 -1 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
14 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 19 22 -3 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 23 -9 15
17 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 22 -7 14
18 Girona 15 2 6 7 13 29 -16 12
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Sevilla ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)

Oviedo ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 1

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.12
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Oviedo is tipped in favor of Sevilla with a strong probability of 74.0% for a home victory. The likelihood of a win for the away team, Oviedo, stands at a mere 12.0%, while a draw has a probability of 14.0%. With Sevilla currently sitting at 13th place and Oviedo languishing at 19th in the La Liga standings, the match appears to favor the home side. Furthermore, there's a prediction for the game to have under 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% probability of this outcome.

Match Analysis

Sevilla's recent form has been inconsistent, as evidenced by their last three matches. They managed a 1-1 draw against Valencia but suffered defeats against Betis and Espanyol, conceding two goals in each of those losses. Despite these setbacks, Sevilla has managed to maintain an average goal-scoring rate of 1.4 in their last five games, albeit with a slightly higher average of 1.6 goals conceded. Oviedo, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net recently, having failed to score in their last three outings, including goalless draws against Mallorca and Vallecano. Their defense has managed three clean sheets in the last five games, showcasing a potential for resilience. However, Oviedo's expected goals conceded average of 2.118 indicates vulnerabilities that Sevilla could exploit.

Final Prediction

Sevilla's edge in this matchup stems from their stronger probability of securing a victory, bolstered by their position and home advantage. Despite recent struggles, their goal-scoring capability surpasses that of Oviedo, whose lack of offensive output could be pivotal. A key aspect to watch will be how Sevilla capitalizes on Oviedo's defensive lapses while trying to maintain their own defensive solidity to secure a much-needed win.