La Liga 2024-2025: Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
54%
VS

Ath Bilbao

Away Team
23%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Sociedad ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)

Ath Bilbao ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Las Palmas (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.85
# Clean Sheets: 0

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao sees Sociedad as the predicted winners with a 54.0% probability. The likelihood of an away win for Athletic Bilbao stands at 23.0%, the same percentage as a potential draw. With both teams positioned in the top half of the La Liga table, Athletic Bilbao sits comfortably in 4th place, while Sociedad is in 10th. The match is anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, as the probability for over 2.5 goals is a modest 42.0%.

Match Analysis

Sociedad's recent form has been less than stellar, with no wins in their last three outings. They've secured a draw against Villarreal (2-2), but suffered defeats to both Alaves (0-1) and Mallorca (0-2). This slump highlights their struggle to convert opportunities into victories, although their average goals scored per game (1.4) over the last five matches suggests they have the potential to find the back of the net. In contrast, Athletic Bilbao has shown more resilience, with two wins in their last three matches. They clinched victories against Las Palmas (1-0) and Vallecano (3-1) but fell short against Real Madrid (0-1). Key metrics show that Bilbao's defense has been solid, registering three clean sheets in their last five matches, while Sociedad has failed to keep any. Although Bilbao's average goals scored per game is lower at 0.4, their defensive prowess could be crucial in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Sociedad's edge in this matchup primarily stems from their home advantage and the slightly higher rate of goals scored in recent games. However, the key factor to watch will be whether Athletic Bilbao's robust defense can thwart Sociedad's attacking efforts, potentially tilting the scales in Bilbao's favor. The defensive discipline of Bilbao could be pivotal, making this an intriguing contest between attack and defense.