La Liga 2025-2026: Sociedad vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Sociedad

Home Team
25%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
55%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Recent Trends

Sociedad ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 1)

Ath Madrid ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.97
# Clean Sheets: 0

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Based on the predictions, Ath Madrid is favored to win their upcoming clash against Sociedad with a 55.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of a home win for Sociedad stands at 25.0%, while a draw is pegged at 20.0%. The game is anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% probability suggesting a tightly contested affair. In the current La Liga standings, Ath Madrid occupies 3rd place, whereas Sociedad finds themselves in a precarious 16th position, battling to climb out of the lower rungs.

Match Analysis

Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting recent performances. Sociedad has struggled in their last three matches, managing only a draw against Levante and suffering defeats to Girona and Alaves. Their attack has been moderately productive, scoring an average of 1.6 goals over their last five games, but their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. Despite generating an average of 1.328 expected goals, their inability to convert these chances into victories has been telling. In contrast, Ath Madrid has shown resilience and form, securing wins against Girona and Valencia, though they did slip to a defeat against Ath Bilbao. Their recent matches exhibit a more balanced approach, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding just 0.8. Their defense has been particularly sturdy, as evidenced by their two clean sheets in the last five encounters. Despite a lower expected goals average of 1.148, their ability to restrict opponents to fewer scoring opportunities provides them with a crucial edge.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's superior form and defensive solidity give them the upper hand heading into this fixture. Sociedad's recent defensive vulnerabilities and lack of clean sheets could prove decisive against an Ath Madrid side capable of capitalizing on their chances. A key factor to watch will be Ath Madrid's ability to maintain defensive discipline, which could play a pivotal role in securing the predicted win.