La Liga 2025-2026: Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction

Valencia

Home Team
51%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Valencia ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.28
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Valencia is predicted to come out on top against Sevilla with a 51.0% probability of a home win. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability for under 2.5 goals. Valencia currently sits in 15th place with 14 points, while Sevilla is slightly higher in 13th place with 16 points.

Match Analysis

Valencia's recent performances have been a mix of draws and a single win. They drew 1-1 away against Vallecano and at home against Betis, while securing a narrow 1-0 victory at home over Levante. The team has been consistent in scoring, averaging 1.0 goal per game, with a similar rate of goals conceded. Advanced metrics reveal Valencia's expected goals scored at 1.594, suggesting they have the potential to be more clinical in front of goal. On the other hand, Sevilla has struggled in their recent fixtures, losing to both Betis and Espanol, while only managing a single win against Osasuna. Their goal-scoring average mirrors Valencia's at 1.0 per game, but they have been more vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. With an expected goals scored of just 0.78, Sevilla seems to be underperforming in attack, which might be a critical factor in their current league standing.

Final Prediction

Valencia is predicted to have the edge in this encounter, primarily due to their slightly better recent form and higher goal-scoring potential as indicated by their expected goals metrics. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Valencia can capitalize on their home advantage and convert their chances into goals, given Sevilla's defensive frailties.