La Liga 2025-2026: Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction

Vallecano

Home Team
71%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
13%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 17 12 2 3 34 16 18 38
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 18 10 3 5 22 19 3 33
6 Betis 18 7 7 4 30 24 6 28
7 Celta 18 6 8 4 24 20 4 26
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 18 5 7 6 24 23 1 22
10 Getafe 18 6 3 9 14 23 -9 21
11 Sevilla 18 6 2 10 24 29 -5 20
12 Osasuna 18 5 4 9 18 21 -3 19
13 Alaves 18 5 4 9 15 21 -6 19
14 Vallecano 18 4 7 7 14 21 -7 19
15 Sociedad 18 4 6 8 22 26 -4 18
16 Mallorca 18 4 6 8 20 26 -6 18
17 Girona 18 4 6 8 17 34 -17 18
18 Valencia 18 3 7 8 17 30 -13 16
19 Levante 17 3 4 10 20 29 -9 13
20 Oviedo 18 2 6 10 8 27 -19 12

Recent Trends

Vallecano ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)

Mallorca ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.10
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Vallecano is favored to secure victory against Mallorca with a commanding 71.0% probability. Despite Mallorca's efforts, they have only a 13.0% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 16.0%. The match is anticipated to be low-scoring, with a 46.0% probability of under 2.5 goals. Vallecano currently sits in 14th place, while Mallorca is closely following in 16th, both striving to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Vallecano's recent form has been somewhat lackluster, with two draws and one heavy defeat in their last three outings. They managed to hold Getafe to a 1-1 draw at home but suffered a 4-0 thrashing away at Elche. A goalless draw against Betis reflects their defensive resilience but also highlights their struggles in finding the back of the net. Vallecano's advanced metrics reveal an average of 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in their last five games, with a promising expected goal tally of 1.626, suggesting they could turn their fortunes around if they capitalize on their chances. Mallorca, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results. They secured a morale-boosting 3-1 victory over Elche but faltered with a home loss to Girona and a 1-1 draw against Valencia away. Their offensive efforts have averaged a modest 1.0 goal per game, while defensively, they've conceded 1.4 goals on average over the last five matches. Despite a lower expected goals figure of 0.982, their ability to find the net sporadically keeps them competitive.

Final Prediction

Vallecano's edge in this fixture stems from their higher expected goal figures, indicating potential for more efficient attacking play. Their defensive solidity, as evidenced by a lower average of goals conceded, could be a key factor in stifling Mallorca's sporadic attacking threats. Fans should keep an eye on Vallecano's ability to convert their opportunities, as this could be the decisive factor in securing the much-needed three points.