La Liga 2025-2026: Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction
Vallecano
Home Team
72%
VS
Valencia
Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Betis | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Espanol | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | Getafe | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | Betis | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Elche | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Celta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Alaves | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Valencia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Girona | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
| 19 | Levante | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 9 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Vallecano
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 0)
Valencia
- Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Vallecano
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.29
# Clean Sheets:
4
Valencia
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.38
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Vallecano and Valencia tips in favor of the home team, with a significant 72% probability of victory. This suggests a strong likelihood of Vallecano securing all three points. Additionally, the match is anticipated to conclude with under 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 47% probability. Vallecano currently sits 13th in the La Liga standings, while Valencia is positioned 15th, underscoring the competitive but slightly favorable edge for Vallecano.
Match Analysis
In their recent outings, Vallecano has shown resilience, recording two draws and a loss. Notably, they managed to hold both Oviedo and the formidable Real Madrid to goalless draws, demonstrating their defensive solidity. However, their visit to Villarreal ended in a 4-0 defeat, highlighting some vulnerabilities. Vallecano's recent defensive performances are bolstered by four clean sheets in their last five matches, suggesting a robust backline capable of stifling opposition attacks.
Valencia, on the other hand, comes into this match with a mixed bag of results. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Levante, drew 1-1 with Betis, and suffered a heavy 4-0 loss to Real Madrid. Valencia's defensive frailties are evident as they conceded 2.8 goals on average in their last five games. Despite this, their attack remains a concern, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match, a stat that mirrors Vallecano's scoring struggles.
Final Prediction
Vallecano's defensive consistency and home advantage give them the upper hand against Valencia. The key factor to watch in this encounter will be Vallecano's ability to maintain their defensive discipline and capitalize on Valencia's defensive lapses. If Vallecano can continue their trend of clean sheets, they are well-positioned to edge out a narrow victory in what promises to be a closely contested match.