La Liga 2025-2026: Villarreal vs Getafe Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
88%
VS

Getafe

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Villarreal ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 0)

Getafe ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 3

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Villarreal and Getafe heavily favors the home team, with an impressive 88.0% probability of a Villarreal victory. The prediction suggests an outcome with more than 2.5 goals, aligning with a 52.0% probability of such a result. Villarreal currently sit comfortably in third place in La Liga, while Getafe occupy the seventh spot, trailing by a significant 12-point margin.

Match Analysis

Villarreal have been in superb form, securing victories in their last three matches. They recently edged out Sociedad in a thrilling 3-2 away win, followed by a solid 2-1 home victory against Mallorca, and a clean 2-0 triumph over Espanol on the road. Their attacking prowess is evidenced by an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings, while their defense remains robust, conceding just 0.8 goals on average. This defensive stability is further highlighted by three clean sheets in their recent performances. In contrast, Getafe have experienced a mixed run of results. They managed a narrow 1-0 win against Elche but suffered consecutive 1-0 defeats to Ath Madrid and Mallorca. Offensively, Getafe has struggled, averaging only 0.4 goals per game over their last five matches. Their defense has been leaky, with an average concession of 1.8 goals, although they have managed two clean sheets in this period. Getafe's lower expected goals figure of 0.676 hints at their challenges in creating scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's recent form and superior stats give them a distinct edge in this matchup. Their ability to score consistently and maintain a strong defensive line makes them formidable opponents. A key factor to watch will be Villarreal's attacking efficiency, as they aim to capitalize on Getafe's defensive vulnerabilities and secure another crucial victory in their quest for a top finish.