La Liga 2024-2025: Villarreal vs Osasuna Prediction

Villarreal

Home Team
78%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Villarreal ✅ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)

Osasuna ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Valladolid (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 2

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.28
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Villarreal is heavily favored to secure a victory against Osasuna, with a commanding 78.0% probability of winning the match. The predicted outcome suggests more than 2.5 goals are likely to be scored, with a 52.0% probability. Villarreal sits in the 5th position in La Liga, while Osasuna trails in 8th place.

Match Analysis

Villarreal's recent performances have been mixed, with a crucial win against Espanyol, a heavy defeat to Celta, and a high-scoring draw with Sociedad. Their scoring and conceding patterns suggest a balanced approach, averaging one goal both scored and conceded in their last five matches. Their expected goals metrics reinforce their attacking intentions, with an average of 1.626 expected goals scored. Meanwhile, defensively, they have managed two clean sheets recently, indicating some resilience when needed. On the other hand, Osasuna has been on a remarkable winning streak, having triumphed in their last three matches against Sevilla, Valladolid, and Girona. Despite their victories, Osasuna's scoring rate remains modest at 0.8 goals per game in their last five, while they have conceded 1.4 goals on average. Their expected goals conceded are alarmingly high at 2.278, which might be an area of concern as they face a potent Villarreal side.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's edge derives from their stronger attacking prowess and higher probability of winning. Their ability to score, coupled with Osasuna's susceptibility to conceding goals, forms a key narrative for this encounter. Watch for Villarreal's offensive players to exploit Osasuna’s defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to an exciting, goal-laden match.