Ligue 1 2025-2026: Angers vs Auxerre Prediction
Angers
Home Team
32%
VS
Auxerre
Away Team
45%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Angers
- Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 5)
Auxerre
- Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
1
Auxerre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Angers and Auxerre sees the latter as the predicted victor with a 45.0% probability of winning. Angers, currently positioned at 14th in Ligue 1, faces Auxerre, who are at the bottom of the table in 18th place. With a probability of over 2.5 goals at 46.0%, the game is expected to be relatively low-scoring, as the predicted result leans towards under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Angers have shown a mixed bag of results in their last three outings. They secured a notable win at home against Lorient (2-0), managed a draw against a strong Marseille side (2-2) away, and narrowly lost to Lille (0-1) while on the road. The team has been relatively solid in defense, averaging 0.8 goals conceded in their last five games, while their attack has managed to net an average of 1.0 goals per match.
Auxerre, on the other hand, is struggling to find form, with three consecutive losses. Their recent performances saw them failing to score against Marseille, Strasbourg, and Le Havre, conceding a total of five goals across these matches. Defensively, Auxerre has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game, which could be a critical factor against Angers. The advanced metrics suggest a higher expected goal tally for Auxerre, indicating potential for improvement in their attacking play.
Final Prediction
Auxerre, despite being at the bottom of the league, has a slight predictive edge over Angers, possibly due to their higher expected goals metric. However, their defensive frailties will need addressing if they are to capitalize on this advantage. A key factor to watch will be whether Auxerre can tighten their defense and exploit Angers' inconsistent form to secure a much-needed victory.