Ligue 1 2025-2026: Angers vs Lens Prediction
Angers
Home Team
10%
VS
Lens
Away Team
79%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | Marseille | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 28 |
| 3 | Lens | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Lille | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Rennes | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Monaco | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
| 11 | Angers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Brest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Nantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Metz | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 11 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Angers
- Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 2 - 0)
Lens
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.46
# Clean Sheets:
3
Lens
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.89
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lens is heavily favored to secure a victory against Angers, with a 79.0% probability of winning. Angers, positioned 11th in the league, will face a challenging task against 3rd-placed Lens. The prediction also suggests a low-scoring affair, with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 50.0%.
Match Analysis
Angers comes into this match with mixed form from their last three games. They recently secured two wins against Toulouse and Auxerre, both with clean sheets, but suffered a narrow defeat against Lille. Their ability to keep clean sheets could be crucial, although they average only 1.2 goals per game. Advanced metrics show Angers has been relatively solid defensively, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game, slightly better than their expected goals against of 1.464.
Lens, on the other hand, is riding a wave of confidence, having won all of their last three matches. They convincingly defeated Monaco and Lorient, scoring a combined total of seven goals, while also maintaining two clean sheets. Lens' attacking prowess is highlighted by their average of 1.2 goals per game and expected goals scored of 1.538 over the last five matches. Despite a similar defensive record as Angers, they have shown a stronger ability to turn chances into goals.
Final Prediction
Lens' recent form and higher league position give them a clear advantage in this encounter. Their consistent goal-scoring ability and solid defense make them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be Lens' offensive strategies, as their capacity to capitalize on scoring opportunities could be decisive in breaking through Angers' defense.