Ligue 1 2025-2026: Angers vs Marseille Prediction
Angers
Home Team
4%
VS
Marseille
Away Team
91%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Marseille | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 32 |
| 5 | Lyon | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Rennes | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | Nice | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 16 |
| 16 | Nantes | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Angers
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
Marseille
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 5 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Angers
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.29
# Clean Sheets:
2
Marseille
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.63
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.01
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Marseille has a strong prediction leaning towards an away victory for Marseille, with a striking 91.0% probability. In contrast, Angers holds a modest 4.0% chance of securing a win, and a draw is considered unlikely at 5.0%. Both teams are keen to improve their standings, with Marseille sitting at 3rd place, a potential Champions League spot, while Angers is currently in 10th position.
Match Analysis
Looking at recent performances, Angers has shown some resilience, winning two out of their last three matches. A convincing 4-1 home victory against Nantes and a narrow 1-0 away win over Nice highlight their potential to upset stronger opponents. Despite losing to Le Havre, Angers' recent form shows they can be competitive. Their average of 2.0 goals scored per game in the last five matches and two clean sheets suggest they have a balanced attack and defense.
Marseille, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. Their recent victory over Monaco by 1-0 was a confident display, but losses to Nantes and Lille, where they failed to score, hint at some inconsistencies offensively. However, Marseille's defensive solidity, averaging only 0.8 goals conceded per game and one clean sheet in the last five matches, demonstrates their ability to keep games tight. Both teams show similar advanced metrics in expected goals, indicating that the match could be more competitive than the standings suggest.
Final Prediction
Marseille's higher league position and stronger predicted probability of winning give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to maintain defensive solidity, combined with a similar offensive output to Angers, makes them the favorites. A critical factor to watch will be Marseille's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, an area where they have shown potential yet inconsistency. With both teams having similar scoring patterns, this could be a closely contested match with the potential for Marseille to assert their dominance.