Ligue 1 2025-2026: Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction
Auxerre
Home Team
41%
VS
Le Havre
Away Team
33%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Auxerre
- Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 2)
Le Havre
- Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 6)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Auxerre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.36
# Clean Sheets:
1
Le Havre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.98
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Auxerre and Le Havre sees the home team, Auxerre, as the predicted winners with a 41% chance of victory. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a cautious affair. Auxerre currently stands in 14th place, while Le Havre is just below them in 16th, making this a crucial fixture for both sides aiming to avoid relegation.
Match Analysis
Auxerre's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a draw against Rennes and losses to Lens and Paris SG. They scored a total of three goals while conceding six over these matches. Their defense has been reasonably solid, averaging only 1 goal conceded per game in the last five matches. However, their attack could be more clinical, as they hold an average of just 1 goal scored per game. The advanced metrics indicate a slight underperformance in expected goals versus actual goals scored, suggesting potential for improvement in finishing.
Le Havre, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.5 goals in their last five games. Their recent outing against Marseille ended in a heavy 6-2 defeat, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Offensively, they average 0.75 goals per game, indicating a need for sharper attacking play. With an expected goals figure of just 0.425, Le Havre's attack has room for enhancement, and they will need to capitalize on any opportunities they create.
Final Prediction
Auxerre appears to have a slight edge due to their more stable defensive record and home advantage. Le Havre's defensive frailties could be a decisive factor, tilting the scales in Auxerre's favor. Football fans should watch for Auxerre's ability to exploit Le Havre's defensive gaps, which could determine the outcome of this crucial fixture.