Ligue 1 2025-2026: Auxerre vs Lens Prediction

Auxerre

Home Team
18%
VS

Lens

Away Team
65%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 12 4 8 15
2 Lyon 6 5 0 1 8 3 5 15
3 Marseille 6 4 0 2 12 5 7 12
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 14 10 4 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 9 7 2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 13 9 4 10
7 Lens 6 3 1 2 8 5 3 10
8 Rennes 6 2 3 1 7 8 -1 9
9 Brest 6 2 1 3 11 11 0 7
10 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 9 11 -2 7
11 Paris FC 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
13 Lorient 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 4 8 -4 6
15 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 5 7 -2 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 3 6 -3 5
18 Metz 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Recent Trends

Auxerre ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 3)

Lens ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Auxerre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Lens

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Auxerre and Lens is predicted to favor the visiting side, Lens, with a 65.0% probability of victory. Auxerre, currently sitting 14th in the league table, is set to host 7th-placed Lens in a match where the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored stands at 54.0%. Despite Auxerre's home advantage, Lens appears to have a significant edge based on recent form and statistical analysis.

Match Analysis

Auxerre enters this match following a mixed bag of results in their last three fixtures. They managed a hard-fought win at home against Toulouse but succumbed to losses against top-tier teams like Paris SG and Monaco. Auxerre's defensive record shows a tendency to concede, with an average of 0.67 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. However, their attack has been modest, averaging just one goal per game. Lens, meanwhile, has shown resilience in their recent matches. A commendable draw against Rennes and a convincing home victory over Lille highlight their potential to challenge higher-ranked teams. Despite a setback against Paris SG, Lens has maintained a strong defensive structure, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their expected goals statistics suggest they are capable of creating chances, averaging 1.34 expected goals per game, slightly higher than Auxerre's 1.09.

Final Prediction

Lens's superior league position, along with their recent form and statistical advantages, gives them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities will be crucial. Fans should keep an eye on Lens's attacking prowess, which might just make the difference in a match poised to see goals aplenty.