Ligue 1 2025-2026: Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction
Auxerre
Home Team
1%
VS
Marseille
Away Team
97%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lens | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Rennes | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Brest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Auxerre
- Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 2)
Marseille
- Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 6 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Auxerre
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.40
# Clean Sheets:
0
Marseille
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.52
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Auxerre and Marseille is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. With a staggering 97% probability, Marseille is expected to come out as the winner. The prediction also suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, at 55%. Currently, Marseille holds a strong position in the league at 3rd place, while Auxerre is struggling at 17th.
Match Analysis
Auxerre's recent form has been disappointing, with their last three matches resulting in two losses and one draw. They were unable to score against Strasbourg and Le Havre, losing both times, and only managed a 2-2 draw against Rennes. Their average of 0.8 goals per game in the last five matches highlights their struggles in front of goal. Defensively, they haven't kept a clean sheet in their last five outings, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Marseille, on the other hand, has shown mixed results with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They were impressive against Le Havre, scoring six goals, which showcased their attacking prowess. However, they also faced a setback against Lens. Marseille's ability to score, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, paired with their strong expected goals metrics, gives them a significant edge. Defensively, they have managed one clean sheet in the last five games, conceding an average of 1.0 goals.
Final Prediction
Marseille's superior position in the standings and their recent goal-scoring form provide them with a clear edge over Auxerre. Their attacking efficiency, as demonstrated in their emphatic win against Le Havre, could be the key to their success in this match. Keep an eye on Marseille's forward line, which has the potential to exploit Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities and secure a vital victory.