Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lorient vs Nice Prediction
Lorient
Home Team
27%
VS
Nice
Away Team
54%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
48%
No Goal:
52%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | Marseille | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 28 |
| 3 | Lens | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Lille | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Rennes | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Monaco | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
| 11 | Angers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Brest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Nantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Metz | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 11 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Lorient
- Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 2)
Nice
- Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lorient
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.72
# Clean Sheets:
0
Nice
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.86
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Nice is favored to take the victory against Lorient with a 54.0% probability, while the hosts have a 27.0% chance of winning. The match is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% likelihood. As it stands, Nice occupies the 9th position in the league, whereas Lorient is battling relegation at 16th place.
Match Analysis
Both teams have been struggling in recent fixtures. Lorient's recent form includes two draws against Nantes and Toulouse, and a heavy loss against Lens, conceding three goals without reply. They have been unable to secure a clean sheet in their last five matches and have an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per game. Their expected goals metrics show some attacking potential, averaging 1.26 expected goals per match, but defensively, they've been vulnerable with 1.72 expected goals conceded.
On the other hand, Nice is experiencing a tough spell as well, with three consecutive losses, most notably a 5-1 defeat at home against Marseille. Despite this, Nice's defensive record is slightly better than Lorient's, allowing an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five encounters. With an average of 1.2 goals scored per match, their attacking output has been underwhelming. However, their number of clean sheets in recent matches suggests a potential for defensive resilience.
Final Prediction
Nice's slightly better position in the league and marginally stronger defensive record give them the edge in this encounter. While both teams have struggled recently, Nice's ability to occasionally maintain clean sheets might prove pivotal against a Lorient side that has been defensively fragile. A key factor to watch will be whether Nice can capitalize on Lorient's defensive lapses to secure a much-needed win.