Ligue 1 2025-2026: Lorient vs Paris SG Prediction

Lorient

Home Team
2%
VS

Paris SG

Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 9 6 2 1 19 8 11 20
2 Lens 9 6 1 2 14 8 6 19
3 Marseille 9 6 0 3 22 9 13 18
4 Lyon 9 6 0 3 13 9 4 18
5 Lille 9 5 2 2 22 11 11 17
6 Monaco 9 5 2 2 18 13 5 17
7 Strasbourg 9 5 1 3 18 12 6 16
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 14 15 -1 14
9 Toulouse 9 4 1 4 15 13 2 13
10 Rennes 9 2 5 2 12 14 -2 11
11 Paris FC 9 3 1 5 14 17 -3 10
12 Brest 9 2 3 4 14 17 -3 9
13 Nantes 9 2 3 4 7 10 -3 9
14 Le Havre 9 2 3 4 11 16 -5 9
15 Angers 9 2 3 4 6 12 -6 9
16 Lorient 9 2 2 5 12 21 -9 8
17 Auxerre 9 2 1 6 7 13 -6 7
18 Metz 9 0 2 7 6 26 -20 2

Recent Trends

Lorient ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Monaco (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)

Paris SG ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Strasbourg (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lorient

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 0

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Paris SG is heavily tilted in favor of the Parisian giants, with a 95.0% probability of an away win. With Paris SG sitting at the top of the table, and Lorient positioned at 16th, the likelihood of a high-scoring game is strong, given the 56.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Lorient's recent performances have shown a struggle to secure victories, with a loss against Angers and Paris FC, and a draw with Brest. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as they have conceded an average of 2.75 goals per match in their last five games without keeping a single clean sheet. On the offensive end, they have managed to score an average of 2.75 goals per game, yet this hasn't translated into wins. In contrast, Paris SG comes into this encounter with a more robust form. They achieved a commanding 3-0 victory over Brest, while also securing draws against Strasbourg and Lille. Paris SG's defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 1.0 goal on average in their last five outings, backed by two clean sheets. Offensively, they have demonstrated their prowess by scoring 2.2 goals per game, showcasing their attacking depth and efficiency.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's position at the top of the table underscores their dominance in the league, and their recent form further cements their status as favorites for this match. The key factor to watch is Paris SG's attacking lineup, which could potentially exploit Lorient's defensive frailties. The Parisians' ability to control the game and capitalize on defensive lapses could be the determining factor in securing a comfortable win.