Ligue 1 2024-2025: Lyon vs Brest Prediction - 2 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Lyon

Home Team
74%
VS

Brest

Away Team
12%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 70%
Under 2.5: 30%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 23 18 5 0 62 22 40 59
2 Marseille 23 14 4 5 50 29 21 46
3 Nice 23 12 7 4 46 27 19 43
4 Lille 23 11 8 4 38 23 15 41
5 Monaco 23 12 4 7 45 31 14 40
6 Lyon 23 10 6 7 42 30 12 36
7 Strasbourg 23 9 7 7 37 32 5 34
8 Lens 23 9 6 8 26 25 1 33
9 Brest 23 10 3 10 35 38 -3 33
10 Toulouse 23 8 6 9 27 26 1 30
11 Auxerre 23 7 7 9 34 37 -3 28
12 Angers 23 7 6 10 26 34 -8 27
13 Rennes 23 8 2 13 30 32 -2 26
14 Nantes 23 5 9 9 28 40 -12 24
15 Reims 23 5 7 11 26 35 -9 22
16 St Etienne 23 5 4 14 23 53 -30 19
17 Le Havre 23 5 2 16 19 47 -28 17
18 Montpellier 23 4 3 16 21 54 -33 15

Recent Trends

Lyon L W W L D

  • Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Reims (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Nantes (Goals: 1 - 1)

Brest D D W L W

  • Last Match: D vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lyon

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.61
# Clean Sheets: 1

Brest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Brest is shaping up to be a favorable encounter for the home team, Lyon, with a 74.0% probability of winning. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 70.0% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. Lyon currently sits in 6th position in the league, while Brest is not far behind in 9th place, making for an intriguing matchup.

Match Analysis

Lyon comes into this match with a promising recent performance, having secured victories against Montpellier and Reims, and narrowly losing to league leaders Paris SG. Their attack has been particularly potent, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they've shown improvement with a clean sheet against Reims, conceding only 0.8 goals on average over the last five games. Lyon's expected goals statistics reinforce their offensive prowess with an average of 1.918 expected goals per match. Brest, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience, remaining unbeaten in their last three matches. They secured a crucial away win against Nantes and managed draws against Strasbourg and Auxerre. Their defense has been commendable, with three clean sheets in their last five games and an average of only 0.6 goals conceded. Brest's expected goals data suggests they can be a threat, averaging 1.572 expected goals per game, signaling that they can capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Lyon's edge in this matchup stems from their superior attacking form and home advantage, making them the favorites to secure all three points. However, Brest's solid defensive record and recent form could challenge Lyon's attacking capabilities. A key factor to watch will be whether Lyon can break through Brest's organized defense, potentially determining the outcome of this encounter.

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