Ligue 1 2025-2026: Monaco vs Lens Prediction
Monaco
Home Team
75%
VS
Lens
Away Team
12%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Monaco
- Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 5 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 2)
Lens
- Last Match: vs Lorient (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Monaco
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.31
# Clean Sheets:
1
Lens
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.81
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Monaco is favored to secure a victory against Lens with a significant 75.0% probability. The match is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 56.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Lens sits in third place in Ligue 1, while Monaco is closely behind in fifth, both vying for a strong position in the league standings.
Match Analysis
Monaco's recent form includes two wins out of their last three matches, showcasing a strong attacking prowess, especially with a 5-3 triumph over Nantes. Their ability to score is reflected in their average of 2.2 goals per game over the last five games. However, they did suffer a narrow defeat to league leaders Paris FC at home. On the defensive side, Monaco has managed just one clean sheet in their recent fixtures, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Lens, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results in their last three outings. They triumphed over Marseille, a top contender, but faced a setback against Metz. Lens's offensive efforts have been less convincing, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches. This lack of scoring punch, coupled with their average of 1.2 goals conceded, points to potential vulnerabilities that Monaco might exploit.
Final Prediction
Monaco's superior attacking statistics and recent form give them a decisive edge going into this fixture against Lens. The ability to consistently create scoring opportunities, as indicated by their expected goals, suggests Monaco is poised to capitalize on Lens's defensive frailties. Fans should keep an eye on Monaco's offensive combinations, as their ability to convert chances could be the key factor in securing the win.