Ligue 1 2025-2026: Nantes vs Lorient Prediction
Nantes
Home Team
30%
VS
Lorient
Away Team
50%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Marseille | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 25 |
| 3 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Monaco | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Lyon | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Rennes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Angers | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Metz | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 11 |
| 15 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Nantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Lorient | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Nantes
- Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 3 - 5)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lille (Goals: 0 - 2)
Lorient
- Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nantes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.15
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lorient
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.28
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient is predicted to swing in favor of the away team, Lorient, with a 50% probability of winning. The match is expected to remain low-scoring, with a higher likelihood (55%) of producing under 2.5 goals. Both teams currently share the 16th and 17th positions in the league standings, each with 10 points from their 12 matches played.
Match Analysis
Nantes enters this match following a series of underwhelming performances. They managed only a draw against Le Havre, sandwiched between home defeats to Metz and Monaco. This recent form highlights their struggle to maintain defensive solidity, having conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last five games. Despite the offensive potential indicated by their expected goals (xG) average of 1.412, converting chances into goals has been inconsistent.
Lorient, on the other hand, offers a glimpse of resilience, as evidenced by their ability to hold Paris SG to a 1-1 draw recently. However, their offensive output has been minimal, averaging just 0.2 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Despite this lack of scoring, their expected goals (xG) suggest that they could pose a threat if they become more clinical. Their defense, however, remains porous, with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match, highlighting a critical area needing improvement.
Final Prediction
Lorient's predicted edge in this encounter is largely due to Nantes' defensive vulnerabilities and Lorient's recent resilience against stronger teams. A key factor to watch will be how Lorient's attack manages to capitalize on Nantes' defensive lapses while striving to improve their own conversion rate in front of goal. This balance could be decisive in determining the outcome of the match.