Ligue 1 2025-2026: Paris SG vs Strasbourg Prediction

Paris SG

Home Team
85%
VS

Strasbourg

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 7 5 1 1 13 5 8 16
2 Marseille 7 5 0 2 15 5 10 15
3 Strasbourg 7 5 0 2 14 7 7 15
4 Lyon 7 5 0 2 9 5 4 15
5 Monaco 7 4 1 2 16 12 4 13
6 Lens 7 4 1 2 10 6 4 13
7 Lille 7 3 2 2 14 10 4 11
8 Paris FC 7 3 1 3 12 13 -1 10
9 Toulouse 7 3 1 3 11 12 -1 10
10 Rennes 7 2 4 1 9 10 -1 10
11 Brest 7 2 2 3 11 11 0 8
12 Nice 7 2 2 3 9 12 -3 8
13 Lorient 7 2 1 4 9 16 -7 7
14 Le Havre 7 1 3 3 8 10 -2 6
15 Nantes 7 1 3 3 5 7 -2 6
16 Auxerre 7 2 0 5 5 10 -5 6
17 Angers 7 1 2 4 3 11 -8 5
18 Metz 7 0 2 5 5 16 -11 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.71
# Clean Sheets: 2

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.48
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Paris SG and Strasbourg is heavily predicted to favor the home team, Paris SG, with an 85% probability of winning. This encounter also has a 53% chance of surpassing 2.5 goals, suggesting an entertaining and high-scoring game. Currently, Strasbourg sits at third in the league standings, while Paris SG is not mentioned in the top ten, indicating they might be further down the table.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Paris SG has shown mixed results with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three games. They managed a clean sheet victory against Auxerre at home but fell short against Marseille away. Paris SG's defensive resilience is notable, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their average goals conceded is impressively low at 0.0, showcasing a robust defense. On the other hand, Strasbourg has demonstrated strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five. They achieved a significant 5-0 win against Angers, underlining their offensive capabilities. However, they have shown some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.67 goals per game on average. Strasbourg's ability to score, even in away games as evidenced by their 3-2 victory over Paris FC, could make them a challenging opponent. The advanced metrics suggest Paris SG has an edge defensively, but Strasbourg's goal-scoring form could pose a threat. With both teams having scored multiple times in recent matches, this clash promises to be an engaging encounter.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's superior defensive record gives them an edge, as they are capable of neutralizing opposing threats effectively. One key factor to watch will be Strasbourg's ability to break down Paris SG's defense, especially given their recent goal-scoring success. This match is poised to be a thrilling battle of attack versus defense, with Paris SG expected to come out on top.