Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Brest Prediction
Rennes
Home Team
48%
VS
Brest
Away Team
27%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | Paris SG | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Angers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 11 |
Recent Trends
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Paris FC (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 4 - 1)
Brest
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.56
# Clean Sheets:
2
Brest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.38
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Rennes is projected to secure a victory against Brest with a 48.0% probability. The game is anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 50.0% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Rennes currently stands 6th in Ligue 1, while Brest is positioned at 10th.
Match Analysis
Rennes has shown resilience in their recent performances, bouncing back from a heavy away loss to Paris SG with impressive wins against Metz and Monaco. Their attacking prowess was particularly evident in the 4-1 triumph over Monaco at home. Rennes has averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings, maintaining a solid forward momentum. Defensively, they have been relatively steady with 1.2 goals conceded on average, and they have kept two clean sheets in this period.
Brest heads into this encounter on the back of a three-game winning streak, which includes victories over Monaco, Strasbourg, and Metz. The team has demonstrated a knack for finding the back of the net, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. However, Brest's defense remains a concern, conceding 1.6 goals on average. Despite this, their expected goals metrics suggest they have been performing slightly above expectations with a strong finishing touch in their recent fixtures.
Final Prediction
Rennes' superior attacking metrics and recent home form give them the edge in this matchup. Their ability to create and convert chances effectively could prove decisive against a Brest side that, while in good form, has shown vulnerabilities defensively. A key factor to watch will be Rennes' offensive setup and whether Brest can hold firm against their dynamic attack.