Ligue 1 2025-2026: Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction
Rennes
Home Team
39%
VS
Strasbourg
Away Team
35%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Lens | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Rennes | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Brest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Toulouse (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 0)
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Paris SG (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Angers (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.58
# Clean Sheets:
1
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.69
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Rennes and Strasbourg is expected to be a close encounter, with Rennes having a slight edge with a 39.0% probability of winning at home. Strasbourg, on the other hand, holds a 35.0% chance of victory. The probability of a draw stands at 26.0%. Given the likelihood of a high-scoring affair, there is a 51.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. In terms of league standings, Strasbourg is in a stronger position, sitting comfortably in 4th place, while Rennes is 10th.
Match Analysis
Recent performances for Rennes have been somewhat inconsistent. They managed to secure draws against Toulouse and Auxerre, both with a 2-2 scoreline, but suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat against Nice at home. This suggests that while they are capable of scoring, their defense remains vulnerable. Rennes' average goals scored in the last five games stand at 1.4, with goals conceded at 1.0, indicating a need for improvement in their defensive resilience.
Strasbourg enters this match with a slightly more positive recent form. They achieved an impressive 3-0 victory over Auxerre and battled to a thrilling 3-3 draw against league leaders Paris SG, showcasing their attacking prowess. The average number of goals scored by Strasbourg in the last five matches is a solid 2.0, although they also concede at the same rate, with 2.0 goals per game. Notably, Strasbourg has maintained two clean sheets in their last five outings, highlighting moments of defensive solidity that could be pivotal against Rennes.
Final Prediction
Rennes’ home advantage, combined with their slight statistical edge in the prediction, positions them as favorites. However, Strasbourg's recent performances, especially against top-tier opposition like Paris SG, suggest they should not be underestimated. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be whether Rennes can tighten their defense against a Strasbourg side that has shown they can score freely. Fans can expect an entertaining match with both teams likely to find the net.