Ligue 1 2025-2026: Strasbourg vs Paris SG Prediction

Strasbourg

Home Team
5%
VS

Paris SG

Away Team
89%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris FC 19 14 3 2 41 15 26 45
2 Lens 19 14 1 4 33 16 17 43
3 Marseille 19 12 2 5 44 20 24 38
4 Lyon 19 11 3 5 32 20 12 36
5 Lille 19 10 2 7 34 29 5 32
6 Rennes 19 8 7 4 30 27 3 31
7 Strasbourg 19 9 3 7 32 23 9 30
8 Toulouse 19 8 5 6 31 23 8 29
9 Lorient 19 6 7 6 25 30 -5 25
10 Monaco 19 7 3 9 28 33 -5 24
11 Angers 19 6 5 8 20 25 -5 23
12 Brest 19 6 4 9 24 31 -7 22
13 Nice 19 6 3 10 25 36 -11 21
14 Paris FC 19 5 5 9 24 32 -8 20
15 Le Havre 19 4 8 7 16 24 -8 20
16 Nantes 19 3 5 11 18 34 -16 14
17 Auxerre 19 3 3 13 14 29 -15 12
18 Metz 19 3 3 13 21 45 -24 12

Recent Trends

Strasbourg ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lorient (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Toulouse (Goals: 0 - 1)

Paris SG ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lille (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Paris FC (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Metz (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Rennes (Goals: 5 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Paris SG

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.45
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Strasbourg and Paris SG in Ligue 1 is heavily tipped in favor of Paris SG with an 89.0% probability of an away victory. Strasbourg, sitting at 7th place in the standings, will face a formidable opponent in Paris SG, who are leading the league. The match is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest despite the strong likelihood of a Paris SG win.

Match Analysis

Strasbourg enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results, notching up two victories and a draw in their last three encounters. Their wins against Lille and Metz showcase their attacking capabilities, as they scored six goals across these matches while maintaining a solid defense. However, the draw against Nice highlights some inconsistency, particularly in sustaining a winning momentum. Strasbourg's recent form is bolstered by an average of 1.6 goals scored per game and a commendable defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals on average in their last five matches. Paris SG, on the other hand, has been in imperious form, recording three straight victories. Their recent performances against Auxerre, Lille, and Paris FC have seen them score consistently while keeping their defenses tight, with two clean sheets in these games. Paris SG's ability to generate a high number of expected goals (1.724) and their solid defensive metrics (averaging only 0.45 expected goals conceded) underline their dominance in the league and their tactical prowess.

Final Prediction

Paris SG's superior league standing and recent form give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their balanced approach, combining clinical attacking play with a robust defense, makes them formidable opponents for any team in the league. A key factor to watch will be Paris SG's ability to control the game tempo, potentially stifling Strasbourg's attacking threats and maintaining their strong defensive record.