Ligue 1 2025-2026: Toulouse vs Rennes Prediction
Toulouse
Home Team
30%
VS
Rennes
Away Team
47%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Marseille | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Lyon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Monaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Lorient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Metz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Toulouse
- Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Metz (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lyon (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 1)
Rennes
- Last Match: vs Nice (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Toulouse
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
1
Rennes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.42
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Rennes appears to favor the visitors, with a 47.0% probability of a Rennes victory. Toulouse's chances stand at 30.0%, while a draw is pegged at 23.0%. Additionally, there is a 53.0% chance of the match having over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open and potentially high-scoring encounter. As it stands, Toulouse is in 9th position with 13 points, while Rennes trails in 10th with 11 points.
Match Analysis
Toulouse has shown promising form in their recent outings, securing two wins in their last three games. Their victory over Metz, where they scored four goals without conceding, was particularly noteworthy. Additionally, they managed an impressive away win against Lyon, which indicates strong away form. Their attack has been potent, averaging 2.75 goals per game in their last five matches, although their defense has been slightly porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals.
In contrast, Rennes has struggled to convert their performances into victories, managing only two draws and a loss in their last three matches. They were held to a 2-2 draw by both Auxerre and Le Havre, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities, as they have been conceding 2.25 goals on average in their last five games. While their offensive output has been modest, averaging 1.25 goals, they will need to tighten up at the back to challenge Toulouse effectively.
Final Prediction
Rennes appears to have the edge, potentially due to their higher league standing and stronger recent performances. Their ability to score and Toulouse's defensive lapses could be pivotal in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how Toulouse's potent attack fares against Rennes' shaky defense, which could ultimately decide the outcome of the game.