Premier League 2024-2025: Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction

Arsenal

Home Team
78%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 33 18 6 9 53 39 14 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 33 13 7 13 56 50 6 46
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Arsenal ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)

Bournemouth ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 1

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Arsenal is poised to secure a victory against Bournemouth with a strong probability of 78%. Positioned second in the Premier League, Arsenal looks to capitalize on their favorable standing to maintain their Champions League spot. Meanwhile, Bournemouth sits in 10th place, and with just a 10% chance of winning, they face an uphill battle. The match is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Arsenal has experienced a mix of results, securing a crucial 4-0 victory away against Ipswich, but also managing two home draws against Crystal Palace and Brentford. This suggests a solid, if not spectacular, form. Arsenal's average of 1.2 goals scored per game, along with a relatively low average of 1.0 goals conceded, shows their ability to both attack and defend adequately. The Gunners' defense has been particularly effective, as evidenced by their clean sheet against Ipswich. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has shown promising signs, remaining unbeaten in their last three games. Their most notable performance was a 1-0 home win against Fulham, coupled with steady draws against Crystal Palace and Man United. Bournemouth's offensive play has been more productive, averaging 1.6 goals per game, and they have also managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five outings. Their higher expected goals tally of 1.725 suggests they are creating numerous scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Arsenal's home advantage and superior league position give them a significant edge heading into this match. Their consistency and defensive resilience have been pivotal in their campaign thus far. Fans should keep an eye on Arsenal's ability to convert their chances, as their expected goals metrics suggest opportunities are there for the taking. Bournemouth's recent defensive improvements, however, may provide some resistance, making for an intriguing contest.