Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction
Aston Villa
Home Team
62%
VS
Bournemouth
Away Team
18%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Aston Villa
- Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 1)
Bournemouth
- Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Aston Villa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.36
# Clean Sheets:
1
Bournemouth
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.32
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Aston Villa is poised to take victory in their upcoming clash against Bournemouth, with a 62.0% probability of a home win. The probability of the match ending with under 2.5 goals is 52.0%, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. Currently, Aston Villa sits at 11th place in the Premier League, while Bournemouth is in a stronger position at 5th, both with 10 matches played.
Match Analysis
Aston Villa has shown mixed form in their last three matches, securing a significant home win against Manchester City and an impressive away victory over Tottenham. However, a loss to Liverpool suggests inconsistency. Aston Villa's defensive solidity is highlighted by their recent clean sheet against City, yet their offensive output remains modest, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game in their last five outings.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, has had a similarly varied run. They achieved a commendable victory over Nottingham Forest and earned an exciting draw against Crystal Palace in a high-scoring encounter. Their loss to Manchester City, however, exposed defensive vulnerabilities, as seen in their average of 2.4 goals conceded per match over the last five games. Bournemouth's attack looks more promising, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match recently, which could trouble Aston Villa's defense.
Final Prediction
Aston Villa's edge in this fixture lies in their home advantage and recent strong performances against top-tier opposition. The key factor to observe will be whether Aston Villa can maintain defensive discipline and capitalize on Bournemouth's defensive frailties. Villa's ability to restrain Bournemouth's attacking threat will be crucial in determining the outcome of this encounter.