Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction

Aston Villa

Home Team
64%
VS

Everton

Away Team
17%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 21 15 4 2 40 14 26 49
2 Man City 21 13 4 4 45 19 26 43
3 Aston Villa 21 13 4 4 33 24 9 43
4 Liverpool 21 10 5 6 32 28 4 35
5 Brentford 21 10 3 8 35 28 7 33
6 Newcastle 21 9 5 7 32 27 5 32
7 Man United 21 8 8 5 36 32 4 32
8 Chelsea 21 8 7 6 34 24 10 31
9 Fulham 21 9 4 8 30 30 0 31
10 Sunderland 21 7 9 5 21 22 -1 30
11 Brighton 21 7 8 6 31 28 3 29
12 Everton 21 8 5 8 23 25 -2 29
13 Crystal Palace 21 7 7 7 22 23 -1 28
14 Tottenham 21 7 6 8 30 27 3 27
15 Bournemouth 21 6 8 7 34 40 -6 26
16 Leeds 21 5 7 9 29 37 -8 22
17 Nott'm Forest 21 6 3 12 21 34 -13 21
18 West Ham 21 3 5 13 22 43 -21 14
19 Burnley 21 3 4 14 22 41 -19 13
20 Wolves 21 1 4 16 15 41 -26 7

Recent Trends

Aston Villa ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 1)

Everton ⚪ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Burnley (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 1

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Aston Villa is predicted to come out victorious with a 64.0% probability against Everton, who have a mere 17.0% chance of winning. The match also shows a 19.0% probability of ending in a draw. Positioned 3rd in the Premier League standings, Aston Villa is poised to dominate against Everton, who currently sit in 12th place. With a 50.0% likelihood of the game having under 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a potentially low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Aston Villa's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a win against Nott'm Forest (3-1) at home, a draw with Crystal Palace (0-0) away, and a loss to league leaders Arsenal (1-4) on the road. Their ability to score an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last five matches highlights their offensive prowess, while conceding only 0.6 goals on average demonstrates a solid defense. Everton's recent form presents a different narrative. A draw against Wolves (1-1) at home and a win over Nott'm Forest (2-0) away were interspersed with a loss to Brentford (2-4) at home. Averaging 0.8 goals scored in their last five outings, Everton has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, though their defense has been relatively robust, conceding only 0.4 goals on average.

Final Prediction

Aston Villa's strong attacking form coupled with their solid defensive record gives them the advantage in this matchup. Their higher average expected goals scored and a lower expected goals conceded further bolster their chances. Fans should keep an eye on Aston Villa's attacking dynamism, which could be the key factor in securing a win against an Everton side facing challenges in front of goal.