Premier League 2025-2026: Aston Villa vs Man United Prediction
Aston Villa
Home Team
28%
VS
Man United
Away Team
50%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
61%
No Goal:
39%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Man United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
| 15 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Aston Villa
- Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 1)
Man United
- Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 4 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Aston Villa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.29
# Clean Sheets:
1
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.16
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Aston Villa and Man United sees the away team as the predicted winner with a 50.0% probability, compared to a 28.0% chance for the home team. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 54.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Aston Villa holds a commendable 3rd position in the Premier League standings, while Man United sits at 6th.
Match Analysis
Aston Villa is riding a wave of success, having won their last three matches against formidable opponents, including a narrow victory against Arsenal at home and high-scoring wins against West Ham and Brighton away. This streak highlights their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been solid as well, conceding only 0.4 goals on average over the same period.
Man United, on the other hand, have displayed mixed form in their recent encounters. They managed a convincing win against Wolves away but were held to draws at home against Bournemouth and West Ham. Their offensive potential is evident, with an average of 2.4 goals scored in their last five games. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding 1.4 goals on average, suggesting vulnerabilities that Aston Villa could exploit.
Final Prediction
The edge for Man United comes from their robust scoring ability, which could overpower Aston Villa’s defense. A key factor to watch will be Man United's ability to maintain defensive composure against a Villa side that has been efficient in front of goal recently. This match promises excitement, with both teams capable of finding the back of the net.