Premier League 2024-2025: Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction

Bournemouth

Home Team
61%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
19%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 28 15 10 3 52 24 28 55
3 Nott'm Forest 28 15 6 7 45 33 12 51
4 Chelsea 28 14 7 7 53 36 17 49
5 Man City 28 14 5 9 53 38 15 47
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 28 12 10 6 46 40 6 46
8 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
9 Bournemouth 28 12 8 8 47 34 13 44
10 Fulham 28 11 9 8 41 38 3 42
11 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
12 Brentford 28 11 5 12 48 44 4 38
13 Tottenham 28 10 4 14 55 41 14 34
14 Man United 28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34
15 Everton 28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33
16 West Ham 28 9 6 13 32 48 -16 33
17 Wolves 28 6 5 17 38 57 -19 23
18 Ipswich 28 3 8 17 26 58 -32 17
19 Leicester 28 4 5 19 25 62 -37 17
20 Southampton 28 2 3 23 20 68 -48 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.38
# Clean Sheets: 0

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.84
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bournemouth and Brentford is leaning towards a home victory, with a 61.0% probability in favor of Bournemouth. Additionally, there's a 59.0% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals scored. In the current Premier League standings, Bournemouth sits in 9th place with 44 points, while Brentford is positioned at 12th with 38 points.

Match Analysis

Looking at recent performances, Bournemouth has struggled to find consistent form. They come off a disappointing streak, with a draw against Tottenham and back-to-back losses to Brighton and Wolves. Despite scoring in two of these matches, they have failed to secure a clean sheet in their last five games. Advanced metrics highlight Bournemouth's potential, with an average of 1.786 expected goals scored per game, indicating they are creating chances but not converting them effectively. Brentford, on the other hand, has shown a mix of resilience and attacking prowess. They recently secured a dominant 4-0 victory over Leicester, which showcases their scoring capability. The team also managed a draw against Everton and a narrow loss to Aston Villa. Brentford's recent matches reflect a solid defensive performance, conceding only 0.2 goals on average over the last five games, and they have kept two clean sheets in that period. Their expected goals figure, at 2.484, further emphasizes their attacking threat.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth is favored to win due to their higher league position and a slightly better probability of securing a victory. However, Brentford's strong defensive record and recent attacking form make them a formidable opponent. A key factor to watch will be how Brentford's defense withstands Bournemouth's attempts to capitalize on their scoring opportunities. Football fans can expect an engaging match with potential for multiple goals.