Premier League 2025-2026: Bournemouth vs Tottenham Prediction

Bournemouth

Home Team
49%
VS

Tottenham

Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 26 48
2 Man City 20 13 3 4 44 18 26 42
3 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 9 42
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 28 4 34
5 Chelsea 20 8 7 5 33 22 11 31
6 Man United 20 8 7 5 34 30 4 31
7 Brentford 20 9 3 8 32 28 4 30
8 Sunderland 20 7 9 4 21 19 2 30
9 Newcastle 20 8 5 7 28 24 4 29
10 Brighton 20 7 7 6 30 27 3 28
11 Fulham 20 8 4 8 28 29 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 4 8 22 24 -2 28
13 Tottenham 20 7 6 7 28 24 4 27
14 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 22 23 -1 27
15 Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 38 -7 23
16 Leeds 20 5 7 8 26 33 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 20 5 3 12 19 33 -14 18
18 West Ham 20 3 5 12 21 41 -20 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 20 1 3 16 14 40 -26 6

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.80
# Clean Sheets: 0

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bournemouth and Tottenham is poised to be a thrilling encounter, with Bournemouth having a slight edge with a 49.0% chance of winning. The probability of a Tottenham victory stands at 25.0%, while a draw shares the same odds. The game is projected to have less than 2.5 goals, indicating a tight contest. Currently, Bournemouth is positioned 15th in the Premier League, while Tottenham sits 13th, both teams eager to improve their standings.

Match Analysis

Bournemouth enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They suffered a narrow home defeat to Arsenal and an away loss against Brentford, conceding four goals. However, they managed a commendable draw against Chelsea, showcasing their ability to challenge higher-ranked teams. Bournemouth's recent form has seen them score an average of 1.0 goals per game, while conceding 1.4. Their expected goals (xG) figures suggest they have the potential to be more clinical, with an xG of 1.66 in their last five matches. Tottenham, on the other hand, has shown resilience in their recent outings. They secured a win against Crystal Palace and held both Sunderland and Brentford to draws. Despite these efforts, they have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging 0.8 goals per game. Defensively, they have been more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals. However, their two clean sheets in the last five games underscore their capability to tighten their defense when necessary. Their xG metrics indicate room for improvement in front of goal, with a lower xG of 0.588.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth’s slightly higher win probability is bolstered by their ability to score and capitalize on opportunities, as suggested by their xG metrics. Meanwhile, Tottenham will need to sharpen their attacking edge to pose a significant threat. A key factor to watch will be how each team's defense copes with the pressure, potentially determining the outcome of this closely matched contest. Keep an eye on Bournemouth's ability to convert their chances, which could be the deciding factor in this encounter.