Premier League 2024-2025: Brentford vs Brighton Prediction

Brentford

Home Team
21%
VS

Brighton

Away Team
62%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Recent Trends

Brentford ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)

Brighton ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.87
# Clean Sheets: 1

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Brighton is favored to win their upcoming clash against Brentford with a significant probability of 62.0%. Meanwhile, Brentford's chances of triumphing stand at 21.0%, and the likelihood of a draw is 17.0%. The predicted outcome leans towards a Brighton victory, with expectations for the match to feature over 2.5 goals, given the 57.0% probability. Currently, Brighton is positioned 10th in the Premier League standings, whereas Brentford sits in 11th place.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Brentford has shown mixed form, managing two draws against Arsenal and Chelsea, along with a narrow defeat to Newcastle. They have struggled offensively, scoring just once in these three encounters, which reflects their low average goal rate of 0.2 over the last five matches. Their defense, however, has been relatively solid, keeping one clean sheet and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Brentford's expected goals metrics suggest they are underperforming in attack, with an average expected goals of 1.24 compared to their actual scoring. Brighton, on the other hand, has faced a challenging run of form, drawing with Leicester but suffering losses to Crystal Palace and Aston Villa. Despite these setbacks, they have been more prolific in front of goal, scoring an average of 2.0 goals in their last five matches. Defensively, though, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. The team's expected goals scored (2.286) indicates they are creating numerous opportunities, while their expected goals conceded (1.602) suggests defensive lapses have contributed to their recent struggles.

Final Prediction

Brighton's attacking prowess and ability to create chances give them an edge over Brentford in this matchup. Despite recent defensive vulnerabilities, their offensive metrics are strong, and they have the firepower to outscore their opponents. A key factor to watch will be whether Brighton can tighten their defense to capitalize on their attacking strengths and secure the win. Football fans should look out for an exciting and potentially high-scoring encounter.