Premier League 2025-2026: Brentford vs Leeds Prediction
Brentford
Home Team
64%
VS
Leeds
Away Team
17%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Everton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | West Ham | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brentford
- Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 1)
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brentford
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.35
# Clean Sheets:
0
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.01
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Brentford and Leeds at the Premier League promises to be an exciting encounter, with Brentford standing as the predicted winners, boasting a 64.0% chance of victory. The probability of the match producing over 2.5 goals is 51.0%, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring affair. Currently, Brentford occupies the 14th position in the league, while Leeds is positioned 16th, both teams eager for crucial points to climb the standings.
Match Analysis
Brentford's recent form has been a mixed bag, having secured a convincing 3-1 victory at home against Burnley, but suffering two consecutive 0-2 away losses to strong opponents like Tottenham and Arsenal. Despite the losses, Brentford's attack has been relatively productive, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their defense needs tightening, as they have not kept a clean sheet in the same period.
On the other hand, Leeds has shown a fighting spirit, drawing 3-3 against Liverpool and earning a notable 3-1 win over Chelsea. However, their defense remains a concern, evidenced by their 2.4 goals conceded on average in the last five games. This defensive fragility could be a critical factor against Brentford's potent attack. Leeds' expected goals conceded are notably high, reflecting their defensive struggles, which Brentford might exploit.
Final Prediction
Brentford's edge in this matchup largely comes from their superior attacking form and home advantage. With Leeds' defense proving to be vulnerable, Brentford's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities could be pivotal. A key factor to watch will be how Brentford's attackers perform against Leeds' defense, potentially deciding the outcome in favour of the home side.