Premier League 2025-2026: Brentford vs Newcastle Prediction
Brentford
Home Team
31%
VS
Newcastle
Away Team
47%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Brighton | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolves | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brentford
- Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 3 - 1)
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brentford
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
1
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.76
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Brentford and Newcastle is anticipated to be a thrilling encounter, with Newcastle holding a 47.0% probability of clinching victory, compared to Brentford's 31.0%. A draw remains a possible outcome with a 22.0% chance. With both teams positioned closely in the Premier League standings, Brentford sits at 12th with 13 points, while Newcastle is just behind in 13th place with 12 points. The match is predicted to have over 2.5 goals scored, suggesting an exciting high-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
Recent performances indicate fluctuating fortunes for both teams. Brentford comes into the match with a mixed bag of results. They secured a notable 3-2 home victory against Liverpool and a 2-0 away win at West Ham, showcasing their ability to score goals. However, their recent 0-2 defeat to Crystal Palace highlighted potential vulnerabilities in defense. On the attacking front, Brentford has averaged 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings, slightly ahead of their expected goals rate of 1.812, indicating a clinical edge in front of goal. Defensively, they've conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, a statistic that could be a concern against Newcastle.
Newcastle, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, with a recent 1-3 loss at West Ham and another 1-2 defeat to Brighton bookending their solitary win, a 2-1 triumph over Fulham. Despite these challenges, Newcastle's defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of just 1.0 goals per match over their last five games. However, their attack has been less prolific, managing only 0.4 goals per game, which might be concerning against a team like Brentford that can exploit defensive lapses.
Final Prediction
Newcastle's edge in this matchup stems from their slightly superior defensive record, which could prove crucial against Brentford's attacking threats. A key factor to watch will be whether Newcastle can improve their attacking output and capitalize on Brentford's defensive lapses. With both teams eager to climb the league table, this match promises to be a captivating contest.