Premier League 2025-2026: Brentford vs Sunderland Prediction

Brentford

Home Team
85%
VS

Sunderland

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 26 48
2 Man City 20 13 3 4 44 18 26 42
3 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 9 42
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 28 4 34
5 Chelsea 20 8 7 5 33 22 11 31
6 Man United 20 8 7 5 34 30 4 31
7 Brentford 20 9 3 8 32 28 4 30
8 Sunderland 20 7 9 4 21 19 2 30
9 Newcastle 20 8 5 7 28 24 4 29
10 Brighton 20 7 7 6 30 27 3 28
11 Fulham 20 8 4 8 28 29 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 4 8 22 24 -2 28
13 Tottenham 20 7 6 7 28 24 4 27
14 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 22 23 -1 27
15 Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 38 -7 23
16 Leeds 20 5 7 8 26 33 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 20 5 3 12 19 33 -14 18
18 West Ham 20 3 5 12 21 41 -20 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 20 1 3 16 14 40 -26 6

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 2

Sunderland

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Brentford is the predicted victor in the upcoming match against Sunderland, with a significant 85.0% probability of securing the win. The likelihood of the game featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 51.0%, suggesting an exciting encounter with potential goal-scoring opportunities. Brentford currently holds the 7th position in the Premier League standings, while Sunderland is close behind in 8th place, both with 30 points from 20 matches.

Match Analysis

In their recent form, Brentford has been impressive, securing two wins and a draw. Their 4-2 victory against Everton and a 4-1 win over Bournemouth showcase their attacking prowess, while a goalless draw with Tottenham highlights their defensive solidity. Averages of 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game in their last five demonstrate a robust performance both offensively and defensively. Sunderland, on the other hand, has had a series of draws in their last three matches, with an identical 1-1 scoreline against Tottenham and Leeds, and a commendable goalless draw against Manchester City. Despite their defensive resilience, highlighted by three clean sheets in their last five games, Sunderland's attacking output has been modest, averaging just 0.4 goals scored per game.

Final Prediction

Brentford's recent goal-scoring form and defensive capabilities give them the upper hand against Sunderland. With a higher average number of goals scored and a strong expected goals metric, Brentford appears poised to capitalize on their momentum. A key factor to watch will be Brentford's ability to break through Sunderland's sturdy defense, potentially deciding the game's outcome.