Premier League 2025-2026: Brighton vs Brentford Prediction
Brighton
Home Team
44%
VS
Brentford
Away Team
28%
Draw: 28%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Man City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Man United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 | Brighton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Leeds | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
| 20 | Wolves | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
Brentford
- Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.17
# Clean Sheets:
2
Brentford
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.17
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Premier League clash between Brighton and Brentford has a 44% probability of a home win for Brighton, while Brentford has a 28% chance of emerging victorious, and there's an equal possibility of a draw at 28%. Brighton, currently in 11th place, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against 12th-placed Brentford. The prediction leans towards a result under 2.5 goals, with a 49% probability for under, suggesting a potentially low-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
Brighton's recent form has been a mixed bag with a win, a draw, and a loss. They secured a solid 3-0 home victory against Leeds but were held to a goalless draw away at Crystal Palace. Their 4-2 defeat at the hands of Manchester United highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Brighton's average of 2 goals scored in their last five matches is promising, but their defense, which has kept two clean sheets in the same period, will need to tighten up further.
Brentford, on the other hand, has shown resilience with recent wins against Liverpool and Newcastle, both high-scoring affairs. However, their 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace indicates inconsistency, especially away from home. Brentford averages 1 goal per game in their last five matches but has conceded twice as many on average. Their defensive lapses could be a concern against Brighton's attacking prowess.
Final Prediction
Brighton appears to have a slight edge with their recent home performance and goal-scoring capabilities. Their ability to keep clean sheets could be crucial against a Brentford side that struggles defensively. A key factor to watch will be Brighton's ability to exploit Brentford's defensive frailties while maintaining their own defensive solidity. This matchup could serve as a pivotal moment for both teams to claim crucial points in the league standings.