Premier League 2025-2026: Brighton vs Sunderland Prediction
Brighton
Home Team
87%
VS
Sunderland
Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 20 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Man United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
| 15 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 3 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.74
# Clean Sheets:
1
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.96
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Brighton and Sunderland is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with an 87.0% probability of a Brighton victory. The match is expected to exceed 2.5 goals, given a 52.0% probability of such an outcome. In the current Premier League standings, Sunderland is in 8th place with 26 points, while Brighton is positioned 10th with 23 points, making this an intriguing mid-table matchup.
Match Analysis
Brighton enters this fixture on the back of a challenging run, including a home draw against West Ham and losses to Liverpool and Aston Villa. Despite their struggles, they have managed to score an average of 2.2 goals per game over their last five matches, indicating a strong attacking presence. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game in the same period. Key advanced metrics show Brighton's expected goals and expected goals against are nearly balanced, suggesting their recent results are a fair reflection of their performances.
Sunderland, on the other hand, has shown resilience, notably securing a win over Newcastle and a draw against Liverpool away from home, although they succumbed to a heavy defeat against Man City. Their goal-scoring has been limited, with an average of just 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, while defensively they have conceded 1.6 goals on average. Sunderland's expected goals metrics suggest they might struggle to create scoring opportunities against Brighton's defense.
Final Prediction
Brighton is favored to win due to their superior goal-scoring capabilities and home advantage. Their recent higher average goals scored per game gives them an edge over Sunderland, who are struggling to find the back of the net. A key factor to watch in this game will be Brighton’s ability to capitalize on their offensive opportunities, which could be decisive in securing the expected victory.