Premier League 2025-2026: Burnley vs Man United Prediction
Burnley
Home Team
6%
VS
Man United
Away Team
88%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Man City | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 42 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
| 6 | Man United | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Brentford | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Brighton | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Fulham | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 28 |
| 13 | Tottenham | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 27 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Leeds | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
| 18 | West Ham | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 12 |
| 20 | Wolves | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 40 | -26 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Burnley
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 3)
Man United
- Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 4 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Burnley
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.62
# Clean Sheets:
1
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.89
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Burnley and Manchester United is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. Manchester United holds an 88.0% probability of securing a victory, while Burnley's chances stand at a mere 6.0%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is also 6.0%. With Manchester United positioned 6th in the league and Burnley languishing in 19th, the predicted result is a win for United and an expectation of over 2.5 goals in the match, with a 56.0% probability of this outcome.
Match Analysis
Burnley has struggled in their recent fixtures, managing only a draw in their last three games against Everton and suffering defeats to Brighton and Newcastle. With an average of 0.6 goals scored per game and 1.8 goals conceded in their last five, they are in a precarious position near the bottom of the table. The Clarets' expected goals metrics suggest they are underperforming both offensively and defensively, which could spell trouble against a formidable opponent like Manchester United.
Manchester United, on the other hand, is showing signs of resilience. They have remained unbeaten in their last three matches, with a win over Newcastle and draws against Leeds and Wolves. With an average of 2.0 goals scored per game and an expected goals metric of 1.624, United's attack appears potent. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. However, their expected goals conceded (0.892) indicates that they are capable of tightening their defense further.
Final Prediction
Manchester United's strong offensive metrics and Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities give United a distinct edge in this match-up. The Red Devils' higher standing in the league and recent form suggest they have the upper hand. A key factor to watch will be how well United's attack can capitalize on Burnley's defensive lapses, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.