Premier League 2025-2026: Chelsea vs Everton Prediction
Chelsea
Home Team
85%
VS
Everton
Away Team
7%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
48%
No Goal:
52%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Everton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | West Ham | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Chelsea
- Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 0)
Everton
- Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Chelsea
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.49
# Clean Sheets:
3
Everton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
Chelsea is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Everton with a strong 85.0% probability. The likelihood of a draw is much lower at 8.0%, and Everton is given only a 7.0% chance of victory. The game is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tighter match. Chelsea currently sits in 5th place in the Premier League standings, while Everton is just one spot below in 7th, emphasizing the competitive nature of this clash.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Chelsea has shown a mixed bag of results. Their last three games consisted of a goalless draw against Bournemouth, a loss to Leeds where they conceded three goals, and a hard-fought draw against league leaders Arsenal. Despite these varied outcomes, Chelsea has managed to keep three clean sheets in their last five matches, a testament to their solid defensive capabilities.
Everton, on the other hand, comes into this match with a more favorable recent form. They secured a convincing 3-0 win over Nottingham Forest and a narrow victory against Bournemouth, though they did suffer a heavy defeat to Newcastle. Everton's defense has been notably strong, achieving four clean sheets in their last five matches. However, their attack has been less prolific, with an average of just 0.8 goals per game over the same period.
Both teams' advanced metrics highlight Chelsea's slightly superior offensive capabilities, with an expected goals average of 1.85 compared to Everton's 0.776. Chelsea also has a slight edge defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game compared to Everton's 1.0.
Final Prediction
Chelsea's higher probability of winning is supported by their defensive record and higher expected goals metric, which suggest they can control the game better than Everton. A key factor to watch will be whether Everton can break through Chelsea's defense, which could be crucial in altering the predicted outcome of a low-scoring affair.