Premier League 2025-2026: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
26%
VS

Chelsea

Away Team
54%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 22 7 9 6 32 29 3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 2 27
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8

Recent Trends

Crystal Palace ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 1)

Chelsea ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.21
# Clean Sheets: 1

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Crystal Palace and Chelsea is expected to favor the visitors, Chelsea, with a 54.0% probability of winning. Crystal Palace, positioned 13th in the Premier League standings, will face a challenging encounter against the 6th-placed Chelsea. The match is also predicted to see over 2.5 goals, with a 52.0% probability, suggesting an attacking display from both sides.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Crystal Palace has struggled to find their form, suffering two losses and managing a single draw in their last three games. Their recent 0-2 defeat away to Newcastle and a 1-2 loss against Sunderland highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches. Despite having a slightly better expected goal metric of 1.182, their actual scoring rate stands at a low 0.4, which is concerning for their offensive efforts. Chelsea, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. A win against Brentford at home with a 2-0 scoreline was a morale booster, but they also faced a setback with a 1-2 loss to Fulham and a 1-1 draw against Man City. Chelsea's average goals per game is 1.0, indicating some offensive challenges, but their expected goals of 1.43 suggest they are creating opportunities. Defensively, Chelsea has conceded an average of 1.6 goals, which could be a point of concern as they face Palace.

Final Prediction

Chelsea's higher probability of winning is supported by their superior league position and their ability to create more goal-scoring opportunities, as indicated by their expected goals metric. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Chelsea's attack in converting their chances against a Crystal Palace side that has shown defensive frailties. This match promises to be an engaging contest with potential for multiple goals, given both teams' recent performances and advanced metrics.