Premier League 2025-2026: Crystal Palace vs Man City Prediction

Crystal Palace

Home Team
19%
VS

Man City

Away Team
65%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 15 10 3 2 28 9 19 33
2 Man City 15 10 1 4 35 16 19 31
3 Aston Villa 15 9 3 3 22 15 7 30
4 Crystal Palace 15 7 5 3 20 12 8 26
5 Chelsea 15 7 4 4 25 15 10 25
6 Man United 15 7 4 4 26 22 4 25
7 Everton 15 7 3 5 18 17 1 24
8 Brighton 15 6 5 4 25 21 4 23
9 Sunderland 15 6 5 4 18 17 1 23
10 Liverpool 15 7 2 6 24 24 0 23
11 Tottenham 15 6 4 5 25 18 7 22
12 Newcastle 15 6 4 5 21 19 2 22
13 Bournemouth 15 5 5 5 21 24 -3 20
14 Brentford 15 6 1 8 21 24 -3 19
15 Fulham 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
16 Leeds 15 4 3 8 19 29 -10 15
17 Nott'm Forest 15 4 3 8 14 25 -11 15
18 West Ham 15 3 4 8 17 29 -12 13
19 Burnley 15 3 1 11 16 30 -14 10
20 Wolves 15 0 2 13 8 33 -25 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.32
# Clean Sheets: 3

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Manchester City is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 65.0% chance of victory for Man City. Crystal Palace's probability of winning stands at 19.0%, while a draw is less likely at 16.0%. The match is also anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals. Man City currently sits in 2nd place, trailing league leaders Arsenal by just two points, while Crystal Palace holds 4th position with 26 points.

Match Analysis

Crystal Palace enters this match following a mixed bag of results. They achieved two notable victories on the road against Fulham and Burnley but stumbled at home against Manchester United. Recent performances show a resilient defensive capability with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Crystal Palace has averaged 1.6 goals per game in this period, slightly underperforming their expected goals of 1.932. Their defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, will be tested against a free-scoring Man City side. On the other hand, Manchester City is currently in fine form, boasting a three-game winning streak. Their recent results include a commanding 3-0 victory against Sunderland and a high-scoring 5-4 thriller against Fulham. Despite their attacking prowess, Man City concedes 1.6 goals on average, suggesting vulnerabilities at the back. They have recorded two clean sheets in their last five games, with expected goals conceded standing at 1.126, indicating a slightly more efficient defense than Crystal Palace.

Final Prediction

Manchester City is favored to win this encounter, largely due to their superior goal-scoring ability and consistent performance in recent matches. A key factor to watch will be City's ability to breach Palace’s defense, which has been solid in recent outings. With both teams capable of finding the net, an exciting contest awaits, even if it might not reflect high-scoring numbers.