Premier League 2025-2026: Everton vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Everton

Home Team
55%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
22%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 27 7 20 33
2 Man City 14 9 1 4 32 16 16 28
3 Aston Villa 14 8 3 3 20 14 6 27
4 Chelsea 14 7 3 4 25 15 10 24
5 Crystal Palace 14 6 5 3 18 11 7 23
6 Sunderland 14 6 5 3 18 14 4 23
7 Brighton 14 6 4 4 24 20 4 22
8 Man United 14 6 4 4 22 21 1 22
9 Liverpool 14 7 1 6 21 21 0 22
10 Everton 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21
11 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 23 18 5 19
12 Newcastle 14 5 4 5 19 18 1 19
13 Brentford 14 6 1 7 21 22 -1 19
14 Bournemouth 14 5 4 5 21 24 -3 19
15 Fulham 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17
16 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 14 22 -8 15
17 Leeds 14 4 2 8 16 26 -10 14
18 West Ham 14 3 3 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Burnley 14 3 1 10 15 28 -13 10
20 Wolves 14 0 2 12 7 29 -22 2

Recent Trends

Everton ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)

Nott'm Forest ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 3

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.69
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Everton and Nott'm Forest is predicted to favor the home side, with a 55% probability of Everton clinching a victory. Meanwhile, Nott'm Forest has a 22% chance of winning, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 23%. The match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals. Currently, Everton sits in 10th place in the Premier League standings, whereas Nott'm Forest is positioned at 16th, indicating a gap in their league performance.

Match Analysis

Recently, Everton has demonstrated a mixed form with two wins and one loss in their last three matches. A notable highlight was their away victories against Bournemouth and Man United, both secured with a clean sheet, indicating their capability to shut out opponents. However, their home form took a hit with a heavy 1-4 loss against Newcastle. Key metrics show Everton scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8 goals per game in the last five outings, with their expected goals slightly higher at 1.554, suggesting they could convert more of their chances. In contrast, Nott'm Forest comes into this match with an impressive away performance against Liverpool, sealing a 3-0 victory. However, they faltered at home against Brighton with a 0-2 loss. Over the last three games, Forest has managed two wins, showing defensive resilience with two clean sheets. Their scoring average stands at 1.0 goals per match, with an equal number of goals conceded, but their expected goals remain low at 0.758, indicating a reliance on efficient finishing and solid defense.

Final Prediction

Everton appears to have the upper hand due to their higher league position and recent away successes, which could boost their confidence at home. A key factor to watch will be Everton's ability to capitalize on their chances, as highlighted by their slightly higher expected goals. The performance of both defenses could be crucial, especially if the game unfolds with less than 2.5 goals as anticipated, putting the spotlight on clean sheets and defensive solidity.