Premier League 2025-2026: Fulham vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
69%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
14%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 30 10 20 36
2 Man City 16 11 1 4 38 16 22 34
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 25 17 8 33
4 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 27 15 12 28
5 Crystal Palace 16 7 5 4 20 15 5 26
6 Man United 16 7 5 4 30 26 4 26
7 Liverpool 16 8 2 6 26 24 2 26
8 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 19 17 2 26
9 Everton 16 7 3 6 18 19 -1 24
10 Brighton 16 6 5 5 25 23 2 23
11 Tottenham 16 6 4 6 25 21 4 22
12 Newcastle 16 6 4 6 21 20 1 22
13 Bournemouth 16 5 6 5 25 28 -3 21
14 Fulham 16 6 2 8 23 26 -3 20
15 Brentford 16 6 2 8 22 25 -3 20
16 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 17 25 -8 18
17 Leeds 16 4 4 8 20 30 -10 16
18 West Ham 16 3 4 9 19 32 -13 13
19 Burnley 16 3 1 12 18 33 -15 10
20 Wolves 16 0 2 14 9 35 -26 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 1

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.71
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Fulham and Nottingham Forest is predicted to favor the home team, Fulham, with a 69% probability of victory. The match is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 52% probability, suggesting an exciting high-scoring encounter. Fulham currently sits in 14th place in the Premier League, whereas Nottingham Forest is two spots behind in 16th place, adding to the stakes in this mid-table tussle.

Match Analysis

Fulham's recent performances have been a mixed bag, having secured a victory against Burnley away from home but suffering defeats to Crystal Palace and Manchester City on their own turf. The team's attacking potential has been apparent, with an average of 1.8 goals scored in their last five matches. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in the same span. Fulham's expected goals metrics suggest a solid offensive strategy, generating chances with an average xG of 1.398. On the other hand, Nottingham Forest enters this match with a more defensive mindset, having kept three clean sheets in their last five outings. They achieved a notable win against Tottenham but fell to Everton, displaying inconsistency away from home. With an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game, their offensive threat seems limited. Their expected goals (xG) figures indicate potential struggles in creating and converting chances, with a low average of 0.654.

Final Prediction

Fulham's edge in this matchup lies in their offensive prowess and the historical trend of high-scoring games, which aligns with the prediction of over 2.5 goals. Nottingham Forest's resilience in defense will be tested against Fulham's more prolific attack. A key factor to watch will be whether Fulham can capitalize on their home advantage and exploit Nottingham Forest's defensive lapses to secure a much-needed victory.