Premier League 2025-2026: Fulham vs Sunderland Prediction

Fulham

Home Team
62%
VS

Sunderland

Away Team
18%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 15 26
2 Man City 11 7 1 3 23 8 15 22
3 Chelsea 11 6 2 3 21 11 10 20
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 14 10 4 19
5 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 9 18
6 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 13 10 3 18
7 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 1 18
8 Liverpool 11 6 0 5 18 17 1 18
9 Bournemouth 11 5 3 3 17 18 -1 18
10 Crystal Palace 11 4 5 2 14 9 5 17
11 Brighton 11 4 4 3 17 15 2 16
12 Brentford 11 5 1 5 17 17 0 16
13 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
14 Newcastle 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
16 Leeds 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 14 22 -8 10
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 13 23 -10 10
19 Nott'm Forest 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
20 Wolves 11 0 2 9 7 25 -18 2

Recent Trends

Fulham ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 3)

Sunderland ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Wolves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 1

Sunderland

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.46
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Fulham is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Sunderland, with a 62.0% probability of securing a win. The likelihood of Sunderland claiming victory is significantly lower, at 18.0%, while a draw stands at 20.0%. With Fulham currently positioned 15th in the Premier League standings and Sunderland sitting comfortably in 4th place, the dynamics of this match are set to be intriguing. Additionally, the game is anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, supported by a 46.0% probability for this outcome.

Match Analysis

Fulham's recent form has been inconsistent, featuring a mix of results in their last three outings. A win against Wolves at home (3-0) was sandwiched between away defeats to Everton (0-2) and Newcastle (1-2). Despite these setbacks, Fulham's home performance remains a beacon of positivity, as evidenced by their recent clean sheet victory. Sunderland, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a win against Chelsea away (2-1) and draws against Arsenal (2-2) and Everton (1-1) at home. This run highlights Sunderland's ability to challenge top-tier teams and maintain a stable form. Advanced metrics reveal that Fulham has averaged 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches while conceding 0.6. Their expected goals and conceded goals metrics reflect a slightly more conservative scoring outlook, but their ability to keep a clean sheet in one of these matches is notable. Sunderland's attacking output seems less prolific, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per game and a single clean sheet in the same period. Their defensive resilience, with a concession rate of 1.0 goals per game, suggests that they could pose a defensive challenge to Fulham.

Final Prediction

Fulham's edge in this matchup stems from their superior probability of victory and home advantage, which has been a stronghold in recent games. Their ability to score goals consistently, combined with Sunderland's less potent attack, positions them favorably for this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Fulham's offensive execution against a Sunderland side known for its defensive solidity and ability to snatch results against stronger opponents.