Premier League 2025-2026: Leeds vs Fulham Prediction

Leeds

Home Team
50%
VS

Fulham

Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 21 15 4 2 40 14 26 49
2 Man City 21 13 4 4 45 19 26 43
3 Aston Villa 21 13 4 4 33 24 9 43
4 Liverpool 21 10 5 6 32 28 4 35
5 Brentford 21 10 3 8 35 28 7 33
6 Newcastle 21 9 5 7 32 27 5 32
7 Man United 21 8 8 5 36 32 4 32
8 Chelsea 21 8 7 6 34 24 10 31
9 Fulham 21 9 4 8 30 30 0 31
10 Sunderland 21 7 9 5 21 22 -1 30
11 Brighton 21 7 8 6 31 28 3 29
12 Everton 21 8 5 8 23 25 -2 29
13 Crystal Palace 21 7 7 7 22 23 -1 28
14 Tottenham 21 7 6 8 30 27 3 27
15 Bournemouth 21 6 8 7 34 40 -6 26
16 Leeds 21 5 7 9 29 37 -8 22
17 Nott'm Forest 21 6 3 12 21 34 -13 21
18 West Ham 21 3 5 13 22 43 -21 14
19 Burnley 21 3 4 14 22 41 -19 13
20 Wolves 21 1 4 16 15 41 -26 7

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leeds

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 1

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Leeds and Fulham, Leeds is favored to secure a victory with a 50.0% probability. The game is expected to be lively with a predicted outcome of over 2.5 goals, which stands at a probability of 51.0%. Currently, Fulham sits in a respectable 9th position, while Leeds is fighting to move up from 16th place.

Match Analysis

Both teams have shown mixed results in their recent performances. Leeds has managed to hold strong against challenging opponents, securing draws against Manchester United and Liverpool. However, they suffered a narrow defeat away at Newcastle. Their attacking prowess is evident with an average of 2.4 goals scored in the last five games, although their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.6 goals. Fulham, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with a victory over Chelsea and draws against Liverpool and Crystal Palace. Their defense appears slightly sturdier than Leeds, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. Fulham's ability to maintain clean sheets in two of their recent fixtures indicates a potential advantage in defensive solidity. Their attacking output, however, averages at 1.4 goals per game, which might be a point of concern against Leeds' aggressive forward play.

Final Prediction

Leeds is predicted to have the upper hand primarily due to their strong attacking metrics, which could exploit Fulham's defensive vulnerabilities. The key factor to watch will be Leeds' ability to convert their offensive chances into goals, as Fulham will likely rely on their defensive organization to limit opportunities. Football fans can anticipate an engaging match, with both teams eager to improve their standings in the league.