Premier League 2025-2026: Leeds vs West Ham Prediction
Leeds
Home Team
88%
VS
West Ham
Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
47%
No Goal:
53%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Man United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Brighton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Brentford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Leeds
- Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)
West Ham
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Leeds
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.68
# Clean Sheets:
0
West Ham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.35
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Leeds United is predicted to triumph over West Ham with a significant probability of 88.0%. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% probability of this outcome. Leeds currently sits in 16th place in the Premier League, while West Ham is struggling at 19th, facing the threat of relegation.
Match Analysis
In their last three outings, Leeds have experienced a mixed bag of results, with two losses and a draw. They endured defeats against Burnley and Tottenham but managed to secure a draw against Bournemouth. Leeds' recent performances highlight their defensive vulnerabilities, having not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. Despite this, their average expected goals of 1.6475 per game suggest they can create scoring opportunities.
West Ham, on the other hand, is amidst a challenging period with two losses and a draw in their last three games. They failed to score against Brentford and Arsenal, highlighting their attacking struggles. Their defense has also been leaky, conceding two goals in each of the last two matches. With an average of 1.5 goals conceded per game, West Ham's defense will need to tighten up to avoid further slips.
Final Prediction
Leeds United's higher probability of winning is supported by their ability to generate scoring chances, even if their finishing has been lacking. West Ham's defensive frailties could be a critical factor in determining the outcome. Fans should watch for Leeds' ability to capitalize on their expected goals and whether West Ham can shore up their defense to avoid another defeat.