Premier League 2024-2025: Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Liverpool

Home Team
61%
VS

Arsenal

Away Team
20%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 71%
Under 2.5: 29%
Goal: 61%
No Goal: 39%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Recent Trends

Liverpool ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 3)

Arsenal ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.75
# Clean Sheets: 1

Arsenal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.69
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Liverpool and Arsenal is heavily tipped in Liverpool's favor with a 61% probability of victory. The likelihood of a high-scoring game is also considerable, with a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. As it stands, Liverpool is perched at the top of the Premier League table with 82 points, while Arsenal trails in second with 67 points.

Match Analysis

Liverpool's recent performances have been a mix of highs and lows. They bounced back from a 3-1 away loss to Chelsea with a dominant 5-1 home victory against Tottenham, followed by a narrow 1-0 win over Leicester. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2.6 goals scored in their last five games, although they have only managed one clean sheet in the same period. With a strong average of expected goals (2.326), Liverpool's offense seems poised to challenge any defense. Arsenal, on the other hand, has shown some inconsistency. They suffered a narrow 2-1 home loss against Bournemouth and managed a 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace before securing a convincing 4-0 away win over Ipswich. Arsenal's average of 1.6 goals scored per game in the last five outings, coupled with a solid defensive performance allowing just 0.4 goals on average, highlights their potential to both score and defend effectively. Their expected goals statistics (1.822) indicate they have the ability to create scoring opportunities.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's edge in this matchup is grounded in their superior attacking record and league-leading position, making them the favorites to secure all three points. A key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, potentially capitalizing on Arsenal's recent defensive vulnerabilities. Football fans can look forward to a thrilling encounter with potential for multiple goals and standout performances.