Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Liverpool

Home Team
85%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
7%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 15 26
2 Man City 11 7 1 3 23 8 15 22
3 Chelsea 11 6 2 3 21 11 10 20
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 14 10 4 19
5 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 9 18
6 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 13 10 3 18
7 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 1 18
8 Liverpool 11 6 0 5 18 17 1 18
9 Bournemouth 11 5 3 3 17 18 -1 18
10 Crystal Palace 11 4 5 2 14 9 5 17
11 Brighton 11 4 4 3 17 15 2 16
12 Brentford 11 5 1 5 17 17 0 16
13 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
14 Newcastle 11 3 3 5 11 14 -3 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11
16 Leeds 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 14 22 -8 10
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 13 23 -10 10
19 Nott'm Forest 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
20 Wolves 11 0 2 9 7 25 -18 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.92
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Liverpool is heavily favored to secure a victory against Nott'm Forest with an 85.0% probability of winning. The match is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, suggesting an engaging and potentially high-scoring encounter. Currently, Liverpool sits in 8th place in the Premier League standings with 18 points, while Nott'm Forest is struggling in 19th place with just 9 points.

Match Analysis

Liverpool's recent form has been a mixed bag with two losses and one victory in their last three matches. They suffered a comprehensive 3-0 defeat against Man City away from home but bounced back with a solid 2-0 home victory over Aston Villa. However, their away form remains a concern after a 3-2 loss at Brentford. Despite these setbacks, Liverpool shows resilience in attack, averaging 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches, and their defense has been relatively tight, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game. On the other hand, Nott'm Forest has shown signs of life with a recent 3-1 victory over Leeds and a commendable 2-2 draw against Man United. However, their inability to secure wins consistently is reflected in their position near the bottom of the table. Offensively, they have struggled, averaging just 0.4 goals per game, while their defense has been porous, conceding 1.8 goals per match over the last five games. Their lack of clean sheets further highlights defensive vulnerabilities that Liverpool's potent attack will aim to exploit.

Final Prediction

Liverpool has a clear edge in this matchup, driven by their superior offensive capabilities and more solid defensive performances. The key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to capitalize on Nott'm Forest's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring game. Expect Liverpool to assert their dominance, as they look to climb the Premier League standings and inch closer to the top five positions.